Iowa Caucus Guy’s Presidential Election Blog

Too much going in my life and too much going on in the race to be of much value, but still I try.  So here's a few takes. Pete Buttigieg-  See that's why I want to blog, because I saw Pete's star was about to rise and I would love to have documented that and tell everyone I was first.  Three weeks ago,  he visited Eastern Iowa, and it was clear from papers like the Iowa City Press-Citizen and the Cedar Rapids Gazette that he was connecting.  His strength being as a mayor, he actually had been an administrator. It's a strength that may be an unexpected advantage.  It is also clear that as a millennial, he is connecting across all sort of demographics.  Also, he is a Midwesterner. Since, I didn't get it down in print, let me just add, an Emerson College poll made worldwide news as Buttigieg finished in 3rd place in Iowa polling, behind stalwarts Biden and Sanders, inching out Kamala Harris.  Buttgieg is the new Beto and I wish I had it on record that I

With so many candidates, I have given up hope of adding any particular timing insight to the Presidential Race. Still, I will try my best. On Sunday, the Des Moines Register updated their poll some three months or so since the first one.  Now, we know most everyone is running.  Bernie Sanders has made it official.  Beto O'Rourke will be in Iowa this week and it looks like he will likely jump in as well. It is a fantastic poll but I give the Register a few deductions. For starters, as with last time, Joe Biden is still in the lead.  Joe isn't officially running, so I think it would have been worthwhile to do polls including, but also excluding him.  In the extra commentary, the Register does indicate that Biden's supporters shift to Bernie (maybe obvious, maybe not) and so the results kind of stand.  In any case, if he doesn't run, I feel this is meaningless.  Joe did drop 5 points, so I guess there was some disbursement,  The other deduction i