Iowa Caucus Guy’s Presidential Election Blog

Originally Written, September 27, 2017 One thing about living in Iowa is that it is constantly election season; or perhaps it's just that politicians like to visit New Hampshire and Iowa as their pick of many possible winter vacation locations. The conventional wisdom (as perpetuated by social media) is the Democrats are a party in ruins. This is the same thing I heard in 1984 with the Reagan landslide over Mondale. It's what we heard about the GOP in 1996 and 2012 as a two term President cruised to victory over minimal opposition. The other talk is of the Bernie and Hillary split. I don't put much credence in this as I don't see either running in 2020 (both will be over 70). There might be hard feelings but I liken Bernie to Ron Paul, and his absence will lighten the memory.  Besides my gut instinct that it's no longer a thing, and your social media feed still reading like Summer 2016, recent polls indicate Dems are more united t

Originally Written September 2, 2017 For many years, I blogged about politics.  For many of us, the 2016 election took some joy out of that.  It took joy out of that for everyone, I suspect. Still, my favorite thing has been Presidential campaign politics, and especially those moments when everyone is a legitimate contender.  Particularly, when the candidates go to the Iowa State Fair and canvas to the people. It is early, of course, and heck, maybe even Trump won't run in four years.  Anything can happen, but someone is always willing to run, and at this moment, there seems to be the posibility of a beating an incumbent, We speculate now.  Cheap headlines are grabbed every time speculate that Hillary, Bernie or Al might be considering a run (though all are entering into their 70s, Bernie well into his late 70s) In any case, one might expect the 2018 Iowa State Fair to be filled with out of town politicians. But 2017? Yeah. It's John Delaney, the first "majo