The 2020 Election Has Officially Begun
Originally Written September 2, 2017
For many years, I blogged about politics. For many of us, the 2016 election took some joy out of that. It took joy out of that for everyone, I suspect.
Still, my favorite thing has been Presidential campaign politics, and especially those moments when everyone is a legitimate contender. Particularly, when the candidates go to the Iowa State Fair and canvas to the people.
It is early, of course, and heck, maybe even Trump won't run in four years. Anything can happen, but someone is always willing to run, and at this moment, there seems to be the posibility of a beating an incumbent,
We speculate now. Cheap headlines are grabbed every time speculate that Hillary, Bernie or Al might be considering a run (though all are entering into their 70s, Bernie well into his late 70s)
In any case, one might expect the 2018 Iowa State Fair to be filled with out of town politicians.
But 2017?
Yeah.
It's John Delaney, the first "major" candidate to announce his candidacy. (It should be noted that some perennial candidates like Rocky de la Fuente and Jack Fellure ahve already announced their candidacy, likely did this the day after the last election.)
Don't know Delaney? Me neither. He seems to have even less of a chance of winning than similarly named John Mulaney (he of the failed Fox sitcom).
Delaney has a few things going against him.
He is a House member, not a Senator or Governror. He's bald. He's from Maryland (Sorry Terrapins, but Martin O' Malley didn't light the world on fire)
I like to think I am above making appearance jokes, but if your visage is going to remind people of a politician, you might be in bad shape if that person is Gerald Ford.
Delaney realizes his road to the White House is steep, which is why he is the earliest candidate to ever announce his run. Pete DuPont, who announced in Sept 1986 before his 5th place finish in 1988 was the earliest, though other sources, dug up Reubin Askew's 1984 run, which had roots in an exploration in Fall of 1981.
Delaney ranks high on Bipartisianship grades during his time in the House, so he's likely to use that in his campaign.
The esteemed PPP is already running the numbers and have Delaney in a dead heat with Trump (38-38), which probably has more to do with anyone running against Turmp rather than some insight on Delaney. Faring much better are the buzzworthy candidates Biden (51-39) Cory Booker and Richard Blumenthal (both 42-39) buzz of the hour Mark Cuban (42-38), Bernie (51-38) and Elizabeth Warren (45-40). (If you are interested in the other side, Trump far outdistances any of his GOP adversaries for his party's nomination).
Delaney might pick up those Lincoln Chafee and Jim Webb voters (both of them). He is self-finanaced. He has ticked off the AFL-CEO by supporting the Trans Pacific partnership, and his background is banking and the NYSE. Though given the last election was won by a wealthy businessman who was decrying partisanship, well, I won't say it not impossible.
For many years, I blogged about politics. For many of us, the 2016 election took some joy out of that. It took joy out of that for everyone, I suspect.
Still, my favorite thing has been Presidential campaign politics, and especially those moments when everyone is a legitimate contender. Particularly, when the candidates go to the Iowa State Fair and canvas to the people.
It is early, of course, and heck, maybe even Trump won't run in four years. Anything can happen, but someone is always willing to run, and at this moment, there seems to be the posibility of a beating an incumbent,
We speculate now. Cheap headlines are grabbed every time speculate that Hillary, Bernie or Al might be considering a run (though all are entering into their 70s, Bernie well into his late 70s)
In any case, one might expect the 2018 Iowa State Fair to be filled with out of town politicians.
But 2017?
Yeah.
It's John Delaney, the first "major" candidate to announce his candidacy. (It should be noted that some perennial candidates like Rocky de la Fuente and Jack Fellure ahve already announced their candidacy, likely did this the day after the last election.)
Don't know Delaney? Me neither. He seems to have even less of a chance of winning than similarly named John Mulaney (he of the failed Fox sitcom).
Delaney has a few things going against him.
He is a House member, not a Senator or Governror. He's bald. He's from Maryland (Sorry Terrapins, but Martin O' Malley didn't light the world on fire)
I like to think I am above making appearance jokes, but if your visage is going to remind people of a politician, you might be in bad shape if that person is Gerald Ford.
Delaney realizes his road to the White House is steep, which is why he is the earliest candidate to ever announce his run. Pete DuPont, who announced in Sept 1986 before his 5th place finish in 1988 was the earliest, though other sources, dug up Reubin Askew's 1984 run, which had roots in an exploration in Fall of 1981.
Delaney ranks high on Bipartisianship grades during his time in the House, so he's likely to use that in his campaign.
The esteemed PPP is already running the numbers and have Delaney in a dead heat with Trump (38-38), which probably has more to do with anyone running against Turmp rather than some insight on Delaney. Faring much better are the buzzworthy candidates Biden (51-39) Cory Booker and Richard Blumenthal (both 42-39) buzz of the hour Mark Cuban (42-38), Bernie (51-38) and Elizabeth Warren (45-40). (If you are interested in the other side, Trump far outdistances any of his GOP adversaries for his party's nomination).
Delaney might pick up those Lincoln Chafee and Jim Webb voters (both of them). He is self-finanaced. He has ticked off the AFL-CEO by supporting the Trans Pacific partnership, and his background is banking and the NYSE. Though given the last election was won by a wealthy businessman who was decrying partisanship, well, I won't say it not impossible.
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